feat: Add evaluation hooks, skill adaptation and team pipeline config
- Add EvaluationHook for post-execution agent evaluation - Add SkillAdaptationHook for dynamic skill adaptation - Add team/ directory with team coordination logic - Add TEAM_PIPELINE.yaml for smoke_fullstack pipeline config - Update RuntimeView, TraderView and RuntimeSettingsPanel UI - Add runtimeApi and websocket services - Add runtime_state.json to smoke_fullstack state Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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# Memory
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---
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summary: "估值分析师的长期记忆"
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read_when:
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- 开始新的估值任务时
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- 需要回顾估值方法论时
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---
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Store durable lessons, heuristics, and reminders for this agent.
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## 估值方法论
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### DCF(现金流折现)
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- 现金流预测期:5-10年
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- 永续增长率:2-4%(成熟行业更低)
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- 折现率(WACC):基于CAPM计算,考虑Beta和债务成本
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- 敏感性:测试折现率和永续增长率变化的影响
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### 相对估值
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- P/E:适合稳定盈利的增长型公司
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- P/B:适合金融业、重资产行业
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- EV/EBITDA:适合资本密集型公司
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- P/S:适合收入增长快但尚未盈利的公司
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- 注意:选好可比公司,控制行业周期因素
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### 资产重置
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- 清算价值:适用于困境公司
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- 重置成本:适用于有明确护城河的公司
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- 净资产值(NAV):适用于房地产、资源类公司
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## 关键假设清单
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*每次估值必须明确记录以下假设:*
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1. **收入增长率** — 基于什么?市场增速?市场份额?新品?
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2. **毛利率** — 行业均值?历史趋势?规模效应?
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3. **折现率** — Beta值?无风险利率?股权风险溢价?
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4. **永续增长率** — 为什么是这个数?
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5. **资本开支** — 维持性还是扩张性?
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6. **营运资本** — 正常周转天数?
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## 教训
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*从过往分析中提取的教训:*
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- 假设越详细,估值越可靠
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- 单一估值方法风险太高,至少两种方法交叉验证
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- 敏感性分析比单一数字更重要
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- 估值是区间,不是精确值
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- 市场短期可能非理性,但长期一定会纠偏
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---
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_记住:估值是一门艺术加科学,科学是底线。_
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